From Smog to Sustainability: A National Strategy to Solve India’s Stubble Burning Crisis

Author: Shri Sanjay Dubey, Additional Chief Secretary, Department of Science and Technology, Government of Madhya Pradesh.

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As cities across North India struggle to breathe, the Air Quality Index (AQI) paints a grim picture.  Delhi, the nation’s capital, frequently records AQI levels breaching the 500-mark during peak winter seasons. Such readings fall into the “hazardous” category, posing severe risks to human  health. Behind these alarming statistics lies a practice deeply embedded in India’s agricultural  traditions stubble burning alongside vehicular emissions, construction, and air pollution.  

Picture this: After harvest, farmers are left with piles of leftover crop stalks. With limited time  before the next planting season and few affordable options, they often burn the fields. Thick, toxic  smoke spreads, choking cities and villages. 

A National Crisis with Global Implications 

In 2023, India recorded over 75,000 incidents of crop residue burning, significantly increasing  harmful fine particulate matter (PM2.5) levels, particularly in northern states. The World Bank  estimates that air pollution costs India $36.8 billion annually in health-related expenses and lost  productivity, while also contributing to a decrease in life expectancy, particularly in heavily  polluted areas.1 While stubble burning has historically been concentrated in states like Punjab  and Haryana, some other states have now emerged as a new hotspot.  

Madhya Pradesh, a leading agricultural state producing 15% of India’s wheat, generates a  staggering 33 million tonnes of crop residue annually, of which 3.86 million tonnes are burned on  farms2. In 2024, the state witnessed a sharp rise in farm fires, logging over 18,000 incidents,  competing with Punjab and Haryana. 

Economies of Paddy Cultivation in India 

Paddy cultivation, a water-intensive crop, has become a central issue in this environmental crisis.  On an average, India’s paddy productivity is 34.20 quintals per hectare. For the 2024-25 season,  the Minimum Support Price (MSP) for common paddy has been set at Rs 2300 per quintal, while estimated cost of production is pegged at Rs 76,449 per hectare. The Indian Agricultural Research Institute (IARI) estimates that producing 1 kilogram of paddy requires 1,432 litres of water,  meaning that a hectare demands over 4.9 million litres of water. 

To irrigate one hectare of paddy over 90 days (assuming an average tubewell depth of 200 feet), a typical 5 HP pump will consume approximately 1,350 units of electricity. With an energy cost of  Rs 7 per unit borne by distribution companies (as farmers pay negligible amounts due to state  subsidies), the fiscal strain on the government for each hectare is Rs 10,000 for irrigation alone. Despite these inputs, farmers see minimal financial returns. At an MSP of Rs 2,300 per quintal,  gross earnings per hectare amount to Rs 78,660. After deducting the production cost of Rs  76,449, the net profit is a mere Rs 2,211 per hectare. 

This economic model places farmers under financial duress while compounding environmental  degradation through excessive water consumption and harmful practices like stubble burning.  Addressing this issue requires a fundamental shift—one that encourages and incentivizes  farmers to transition away from paddy cultivation toward more sustainable and profitable  alternatives. 

Why traditional solutions fall short? 

Several alternative methods have been proposed to mitigate stubble burning, but they come with  their own set of challenges. One such method involves bailing the stubble and mixing it with cow  dung to produce organic manure. Another option is to convert the stubble into briquettes, which  can be used as fuel in thermal power plants. Additionally, hand-cutting the paddy crop can  minimize the amount of stubble generated, with the remaining parts used as fodder for livestock. 

But none of these have found favour with farmers as they see little or no additional incentive to  adopt to new practices. These practical challenges underscore the need for a more  comprehensive, technology-driven approach. 

The Farmer-Centric GIS-Driven Solution 

To tackle the issue of stubble burning, an innovative GIS-based strategy is being proposed to  incentivize farmers to transition away from water-intensive crops like paddy. This farmer-centric  approach integrates cutting-edge technology to promote sustainable agricultural practices and  support farmers effectively. 

Key Components of the GIS-Driven Solution 

1. Mapping Paddy Cultivation Lands: Using GIS technology, the government will map  agricultural lands where paddy was cultivated in previous year, forming the foundation for  targeted interventions. 

2. Satellite Monitoring: Satellites equipped with high-resolution sensors will monitor  agricultural activities in real time. This ensures timely verification of fields avoiding paddy  cultivation in coming years and facilitates the accurate distribution of incentives to  farmers. 

3. Hotspot Identification and Mapping: GIS tools will then identify and map areas where  farmers have shifted to alternative crops. These insights will enable the government to  focus its support on regions adopting sustainable practices. 

4. Ground-Level Verification: Ground-truthing, through drones or other technologies, will  validate GIS data to ensure accurate mapping of non-paddy cultivation areas.  5. Direct Farmer Incentives: Farmers identified through GIS and satellite imagery as  avoiding paddy cultivation and stubble burning will receive direct financial compensation which will be less than electricity subsidy but more than earnings per hectare, encouraging a long-term shift toward sustainable farming. This approach ensures  consistent incentives while actively encouraging more farmers to participate in this GIS 

Column on GIS Driven Stubble Solutions 

mapping program, thereby promoting widespread adoption of sustainable agricultural  practices and reducing environmental impact over time. 

6. Impact Analysis and Decision Support: GIS will provide detailed insights into the  success of the initiative, including the scale, intensity, and geographical distribution of  non-paddy cultivation.  

Integrating GIS technology into the stubble-burning mitigation strategy benefits all stakeholders,  environment, farmers and state governments. By identifying burning hotspots and promoting  sustainable alternatives, this approach will reduce the carbon footprint, conserve water, and  empower farmers with viable, eco-friendly alternatives to traditional practices. By reducing  stubble burning and encouraging the shift from water-intensive crops like paddy, the government  can lower its spending on water management and electricity generation. For farmers, this  approach will offer immediate financial relief and long-term benefits. This approach also aligns  with several United Nations Sustainable Development Goals3, and will help in achieving ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) framework compliance.  

Towards a Cleaner, Greener Future The stubble-burning crisis in India is a national challenge with global implications. The GIS powered strategy represents a transformative step, blending technology with policy to balance  environmental protection and agricultural productivity. The state also sets an example for  collaborative action, inviting partnerships from industries, research institutions, and global  organizations. Together, we can reimagine agriculture as a sustainable coexistence with  nature—ensuring cleaner air, healthier soil, and empowered farmers for generations to come.

Author: Shri Sanjay Dubey, Additional Chief Secretary, Department of Science and Technology, Government of Madhya Pradesh.

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